Tropical Update

While our weather is staying nice, the tropics are heating up. We have three systems that we are watching right now.

Isaac: As of the 5AM AST Advisory, Tropical Storm Isaac was located 280 miles east of Guadeloupe, max winds at 45MPH, moving west at 18MPH, and pressure at 29.62”. The NHC has this staying as a low end category 1 storm for about the next 90 hours. Where this will go next, is all out there. Once we get past the next five days, we are all over the maps. I do believe that this will hit Florida, but we do not know which part of Florida this will hit. Many models have this hitting the East Coast of Florida and staying along the East Coast after that. There has been some talk about it hitting the West Coast of Florida and staying in the Gulf of Mexico area. Again, I do believe it will stay as a low end category 1 and hit along the Florida East Coast. This is going to hit Hispaniola and the land scape there is most likely going to tear this up, so once it gets pass Cuba, it will need to reboot fast to become a major hurricane.

I-96 L: This system is 650 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands and moving west-northwest at 15MPH. This has a 90% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone and it most likely will be one today. Models do keep this out to sea. I’ll be watching this one.

I-95 L: This is the one that will not leave us. Currently located right on the Eastern Gulf Coast of Mexico. This will just stay around that area for the next few days before leaving. It has a 0% chance of reforming.