Warnings, Watches, and Advisories
None
Rain heading our way: The Tri-State has need rain and we are going to get it soon. A weak cold front will move over tonight and trigger a few isolated showers and thunderstorms. Tonight is not what we really care about, it’s Thursday that we really care about as a warm front associated with a low pressure system and a cold front will move over. The warm front will north on during the day pulling warmer air that will spark the morning round of showers and thunderstorms. Once that warm front is over, a low pressure system will move over during the day that will drag a cold front with it. That front is what will trigger our afternoon storms. The SPC has put the Tri-State under a Slight Risk of severe weather. Points north of the Ohio are under a 30% probability while areas south are in the 15% probability. What that means is one area has a higher threat of seeing severe weather compared to another area. Main threats should remain damaging winds, large hail, and heavy rainfall. Tornado threat is going to be low as we are not into a good time of the year for tornadoes. Give us about another month and you will start to see chances increase. The best timing for severe weather will be in the afternoon to late evening hours. Clouds will increase overnight with temps staying in the upper 60s. Friday will be in the lower 90s and overnight in the mid to upper 60s.
Friday: We do have a chance of seeing a few isolated showers and storms early, but it will start to clear out. One thing you will notice will be the temps. Highs for Friday will reach the low 80s with overnight lows in the mid to upper 50s. Just a hint of fall coming our way.
Weekend: We are going to be in the back side of a low pressure trough on Saturday will drive down cooler and drier air. Besides that, we have a high pressure system moving our way from Wisconsin that will head east on Sunday. This will also keep us dry, but slowly warm us up. Saturday in the low 80s and Sunday in the mid-80s.
Next Week: Temps for next week will stay in the mid to upper 80s as high pressure will stay around for awhile. I am watch a warm front that might head our way on Wednesday Night or Thursday. I’ll let you know what will happen with that.
Severe Weather Risk: No major severe weather for overnight, but we are in the general 5% strong thunderstorm probability. Main threats should remain wind, small hail, and heavy rainfall. Slight Risk for Thursday. We might see a few strong thunderstorms Friday before the system leaves. No severe weather thru next Wednesday.
Tropical Update: Ernesto did make landfall last night shortly after 11PM. Right now, he is a tropical storm and should remain one until Friday. At the 7PM CDT update, winds were at 50MPH, heading West at 7MPH, and pressure was at 994mb. Forecasted to head back to sea for overnight before making landfall again early Thursday afternoon, and should become a tropical depression Friday morning. Elsewhere in the Atlantic, we have two system the NHC has highlighted. The first one is a surface low about 950 miles west of the Southern Cape Verde Islands. Currently moving westward at 10-15MPH and is at a 50% chance (medium) of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. Area number two is a weak surface trough, or what is left of Florence. Located about 350 miles Northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands, moving West-Northwest at 20MPH, and at a 0% chance (low) of becoming a tropical cyclone.
Evansville Pollen.com PollenCast
Thursday: 7.0 (Medium)
Friday: 7.7 (Medium-High)
Saturday: 8.0 (Medium-High)
EvansvilleWatch Seven Day Forecast
Tonight: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, increasing clouds, 69
Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, 91
Thursday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, 67
Friday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, clearing, cooler, 81
Friday Night: Mostly clear, cool, 57
Saturday: Mostly sunny, 81
Sunday: Mostly sunny, 84
Monday: Partly sunny, 86
Tuesday: Sunny, 87
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, warm, 89
That is it for tonight, updates all day Thursday on the severe weather heading our way. Don’t forget, you can get alerts from EvansvilleWatch from our Alerts page and Twitter account. Just go to EvansvilleWatch Alerts and hit like or follow us on Twitter @EWatchAlerts. Good night, stay safe, and God bless.
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