Monday, August 20, 2012

CovingtonWatch Forecast for Monday, August 20th, 2012


Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

COOL START TO THE WEEK: After a nice weekend, we start off the work week cool, but with a chance of rain. We have a weak system moving into the area today will give way to some showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. All of these should stay below the strong threat, but lighting cannot be ruled out. Partly sunny skies today with some clouds overnight; highs for today in the upper 70s and overnight in the lower 50s.

WARM UP: An area of high pressure moves in on Tuesday and starts to warm our temps up over the next few days and nights. Mostly sunny and near 80 for Tuesday, while Wednesday and Thursday have sunny conditions in the mid-80s. Friday looks to be the warmest day of the next seven under mostly sunny skies in the mid to upper 80s. Clear and in the low to mid-50s overnight for Tuesday and Wednesday. One side note, some of our models do put in a chance of rain for Tuesday and Wednesday. I will not lie, I do believe that the models are overdoing it, but I do want to go ahead and say a possible shower cannot be ruled out here or there for both days. Overall, everything should be nice.

WEEKEND RAIN: We will be awaiting a frontal system for the weekend to bring in rain. A cold front will move across on Sunday and won’t really drop temps all that much. Rain chances stay in the isolated to widely scattered chance. Highs for the weekend stay in the mid-80s.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: No threat of severe weather for the next seven days at this. The thunderstorms we will have today will be more of a lighting hazard than anything else. Storms for the weekend could be strong at times. We’ll fine tune the forecast and let you know later.

TROPICAL UPDATE: We have four systems out in the tropics to talk about it. Hurricane Gordon is a category 1 storm, located 50 miles East of Santa Maria Island in the Azores, max winds at 75MPH, moving East-Northeast at 15MPH, and pressure is at 29.15” (As of 5AM AST Advisory). Onto our other three systems out in the Atlantic.
1: Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure area located about 1250 miles East of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so as the large disturbance moves westward at 20-25MPH. This system has a high chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
2: Cloudiness and showers associated with a surface trough located over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico have changed little during the past several hours. However, some gradual development of this system is possible during the next day or so if the disturbance remains offshore. This system has a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible in the Mexican States of Tamulipas and Varacruz during the next day or two.
3: A tropical wave located about 150 miles South of the Cape Verde Islands is producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Some gradual development is possible over the next few days as the disturbance moves Westward at 15-20MPH. This system has a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

COVINGTON CLIMATE DATA: Average high for today is 85 and average low is 61. Records are 95 in 1983 and 47 in 1992. Sunset tonight is at 8:39PM and sunrise on Tuesday at 7:07AM.

Covington Pollen.com PollenCast
Today: 9.1 (Medium-High)
Tuesday: 9.3 (Medium-High)
Wednesday: 9.9 (High)
Thursday: 10.5 (High)

CovingtonWatch Seven Day Forecast
Monday: Widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 78
Tonight: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 52
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, 80
Tuesday Night: Clear, 52
Wednesday: Sunny, warm, 85
Wednesday Night: Clear, 55
Thursday: Sunny, warm, 85
Friday: Mostly sunny, warm, 87
Saturday: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 86
Sunday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 85

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That is it for today. I start classes today, so I will try for another update sometime this afternoon. Have a great day and God bless. 

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