Thursday, August 30, 2012

CovingtonWatch Forecast for Thursday, August 30th, 2012


Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

OVERNIGHT: One more clear night for us until what is left Isaac moves into the Illiana area for the next several days. It will be mild with lows in the mid-60s.

FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY: We start off Friday under mostly sunny skies with highs reaching near 90. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will start to enter into the area starting late in the afternoon as what is left of Isaac moves in. Take the rain gear to the football games Friday Night as more showers and thunderstorms move in. Those that won’t see rain will have mostly cloudy skies with overnight lows in the upper 60s. We start seeing a frontal system for the weekend along with Isaac moving in. This will improve our rain chances and if you don’t see any rain for a few minutes, skies will be cloudy. Temps near 80 for Saturday and Sunday with overnight Saturday near 70. 

LABOR DAY AND TUESDAY: Isaac will start to move on out as a cold front will move over at the same time on Labor Day. While our rain chances will decrease, we are still going to be a good chance of rain. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies with highs in the mid-80s. Might see a few showers and storms on Tuesday morning, but a weak high pressure will move in and should move some clouds out and return the sun, but with highs still in the mid-80s.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY: Wednesday looks to be the nicest day for next week with mostly sunny skies and highs in the lower to mid -80s. We will be watching another front for Thursday that might return a chance of showers and thunderstorms again with highs in the lower 80s.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: As what is left of Isaac moves towards us, we will be faced with some things we haven’t seen for a while. As long as the models are right, this system looks to be a slow mover. This means that heavy rainfall and flooding is possible. With as dry as we have been, the ground is not going to take in all this water at once. Therefore, we are at an increased risk of flash flooding and flooding of creaks, streams, and rivers. No formal Slight Risk has been put out by the SPC for the weekend, but I do believe we will see one when the next update comes in during the early morning hours. Main threats with any severe weather we will see for the next few days will be damaging winds, hail, isolated tornadoes, heavy rainfall, and flooding. As this system moves out, we start heading into next week. It does look like we might have a chance of strong thunderstorms/severe weather for next Friday. Too early to say what might happen, but we will be watching.

RAINFALL TOTALS: As of the 5:40PM EDT update today, the HPC has us under the 7+” area of rainfall valid thru 8PM EDT Tuesday. This might look high, but that does not mean we will get that. I saw one person going off on the HPC for calling for 3-6”. These numbers are high for the 5 Day Outlook because we really won’t know until we get there on what is happening. But I just want to tell you, these numbers will be going up and down for the next few days.

CovingtonWatch Seven Day Forecast
Tonight: Clear, 64
Friday: Mostly sunny, isolated showers late, hot, 90
Friday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, 69
Saturday: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 80
Saturday Night: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 70
Sunday: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 80
Labor Day: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 85
Tuesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 85
Wednesday: Mostly sunny, 83
Thursday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, mostly sunny, 82

I will try to have another update in the morning. I will be on the road Friday afternoon and try to have updates when I can. Have a great Labor Day weekend, stay dry, and God bless. 

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