Monday, August 27, 2012

Tropical Storm Isaac 10PM CDT Advisory



NHC Headline: Isaac is talking aim on the Northern Gulf Coast, significant storm surge and freshwater flood threat expected.  

All the information is as of the 10PM CDT Advisory.
Location: 27.1N 87.0W
About 190 Miles SE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
About 255 Miles SSE of Biloxi, MS
Maximum Sustained Winds: 70MPH
Present Movement: NW or 310 degrees at 10MPH
Minimum Central Pressure: 979mb, 28.91 inches

Days 1-3
The new NHC forecast has winds only reaching 90MPH, which would be a strong cat 1 to a weak cat 2 and this will be right on the coast. So like I have been talking about for a while, we would have something near a strong cat 1, weak cat 2. But anything can happen between now and when it hits land. The biggest threat will be flooding, extreme wind damage, and storm surges.

The new NHC track has not had that much change. The next three days will be worth watching, mainly the final few hours before it hits land. Any area in the white cone is where the eye MIGHT head towards. This is NOT seat in stone like others have made it sound like.

Days 1-5
We add on days 4, 5 and Indiana, Illinois, and Kentucky are added in the cone area. Our models have been shown that this will most likely hit us. Once it gets here, we will have to wait and see what does happen. I don’t want to jump ahead to five days out and say what I think will happen. Once we get there, I will have more.

I will have another update in the morning. 

No comments:

Post a Comment