Wednesday, August 22, 2012

Tropical Update


While our weather is staying nice, the tropics are heating up. We have three systems that we are watching right now.

Isaac: As of the 5AM AST Advisory, Tropical Storm Isaac was located 280 miles east of Guadeloupe, max winds at 45MPH, moving west at 18MPH, and pressure at 29.62”. The NHC has this staying as a low end category 1 storm for about the next 90 hours. Where this will go next, is all out there. Once we get past the next five days, we are all over the maps. I do believe that this will hit Florida, but we do not know which part of Florida this will hit. Many models have this hitting the East Coast of Florida and staying along the East Coast after that. There has been some talk about it hitting the West Coast of Florida and staying in the Gulf of Mexico area. Again, I do believe it will stay as a low end category 1 and hit along the Florida East Coast. This is going to hit Hispaniola and the land scape there is most likely going to tear this up, so once it gets pass Cuba, it will need to reboot fast to become a major hurricane.

I-96 L: This system is 650 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands and moving west-northwest at 15MPH. This has a 90% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone and it most likely will be one today. Models do keep this out to sea. I’ll be watching this one.

I-95 L: This is the one that will not leave us. Currently located right on the Eastern Gulf Coast of Mexico. This will just stay around that area for the next few days before leaving. It has a 0% chance of reforming. 

CovingtonWatch Forecast for Wednesday, August 22nd, 2012


Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

TURNING WARMER: High pressure will be in the area for about the rest of the week to give us clear skies and temps in the mid to upper 80s thru the weekend. We will also have clear skies during the overnight hours tonight and Thursday with lows ranging from the mid-50s to near 60. Some clouds do return overnight Friday, but temps still stay in the low to mid-60s.

RAIN RETURNS: Our next big chance of rain will be late Sunday into early Monday as a cold front associated with an area of low pressure moves on in. The low itself is in Canada and the front will be weakening as Isaac moves more towards land. Our best chances of rain come Monday as the front really does kick into the area. Rain chances are almost a 50/50. By Tuesday, the front would have died off, but a few showers are still possible. Highs for Sunday will be in the upper 80s, but down to the mid-80s by Tuesday.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: With the front weakening, our severe weather risk goes down. I do believe that some heavy rain and lighting is possible with some storms. Nothing really big to talk about.

TROPICAL UPDATE: I have so much to talk about in the tropics I will post it onto a different blog entry.

COVINGTON CLIMATE DATA: High for Tuesday was 79, low was 53, and precipitation was 0.00”. The forecast high was 81. Averages for today are 85 and 61. Records are 98 in 1983 and 50 in 2004. Sunset tonight is at 8:36PM EDT and sunrise on Thursday is at 7:09AM EDT.

Covington Pollen.com PollenCast
Today: 9.6 (Medium-High)
Thursday: 9.8 (High)
Friday: 11.5 (High)
Saturday: 11.4 (High)

CovingtonWatch Seven Day Forecast
Today: Morning fog possible, turning sunny, 84
Tonight: Clear, 55
Thursday: Sunny, 88
Thursday Night: Clear to mostly clear, 60
Friday: Mostly sunny, 88
Friday Night: Partly cloudy, 63
Saturday: Mostly sunny, 89
Sunday: Mostly sunny, isolated showers and thunderstorms late, 88
Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, 84
Tuesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 82

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That is the forecast for today. Have a great day and God bless. 

EvansvilleWatch Forecast for Wednesday, August 22nd, 2012


Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

WARM, BUT NICE:  An area of high pressure is controlling our weather in the Tri-State for the next few days and it will be nice. One problem is temps will be in the lower 90s thru Saturday. Lows overnight tonight and Thursday will be in the lower 60s. Overnight Friday, a few clouds move into the Tri-State with lows in the mid-60s.

SUNDAY THRU TUESDAY RAIN: A weakening cold front will sweep thru the Tri-State for the start of next week and give us a chance of rain. Northern parts of the Tri-State will see the rain first starting Sunday Night while the rest of us see it on Monday. The front will die off by Tuesday, but a few showers are still possible. Highs will start off in the upper 80s, but end in the mid-80s.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: With the front weakening, our severe weather risk goes down. I do believe that some heavy rain and lighting is possible with some storms. Nothing really big to talk about.

TROPICAL UPDATE: I have so much to talk about in the tropics I will post it onto a different blog entry.

EVANSVILLE CLIMATE DATA: High for Tuesday was 85, low was 56, and precipitation was T”. The forecast high was 84. Averages for today are 88 and 65. Records are 101 in 1936 and 49 in 1950. Sunset tonight is at 7:33PM CDT and sunrise on Thursday is at 6:13AM CDT.

Evansville Pollen.com PollenCast
Today: 9.3 (Medium-High)
Thursday: 9.3 (Medium-High)
Friday: 9.6 (Medium-High)
Saturday: 10.2 (High)

EvansvilleWatch Seven Day Forecast
Today: Sunny, 91
Tonight: Clear, 60
Thursday: Sunny, 91
Thursday Night: Clear, 62
Friday: Sunny, 91
Friday Night: Mostly clear, 66
Saturday: Mostly sunny, 92
Sunday: Mostly sunny, isolated showers and thunderstorms late, 89
Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 87
Tuesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, mostly sunny, 85

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That is the forecast for today. Have a great day and God bless.

Tuesday, August 21, 2012

EvansvilleWatch Forecast for Tuesday, August 21st, 2012


Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

MAYBE A SHOWER: Looking to be mostly sunny today with highs in the mid-80s. We have, however, seen some clouds move in this morning, so we can’t rule out the chance of an isolated shower or two this morning. Overnight tonight, skies looking to be mostly clear with lows in the mid-50s.

WARM UP: High pressure moves in for a few days and takes over our weather. Sunny skies for Wednesday with highs in the upper 80s, but some lower 90s can’t be ruled out. Thursday and Friday look to be sunny to mostly sunny with highs in the lower 90s. Overnight on Wednesday and Thursday, skies will stay clear with lows in the lower 60s for both nights.

WEEKEND: Saturday looks to be on the dry side for most of the day, but a shower or two is possible for some locations around the Tri-State. Overall mostly sunny skies with highs in the low 90s. We are watching a cold front that will be moving on Monday. Before the front gets here, we have an isolated chance of rain for late Sunday Night. During the day, however, skies stay mostly sunny in the lower 90s. Monday gives us our best chance of rain with partly sunny skies and highs in the upper 80s.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: No severe weather is forecasted for Sunday or Monday, but we might have a storm or two on the strong side.

TROPICAL UPDATE: Gordon is now in the history books. The NHC stopped putting out advisories for him last night. We know have Tropical Depression Nine and this is the one that might become Isaac. At the 5AM AST Advisory, it was located 715 miles East of the Leeward Islands, winds at 35MPH, moving West at 20MPH, and pressure was at 29.74”. Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches are already out. Forecast track has this becoming a tropical storm later today and a hurricane by Thursday. As for where this will hit, latest models have this hitting near the Florida, Georgia area along the East Coast, but still too early to tell right now. Two more systems in the Atlantic to talk about. System one is about 380 miles Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, moving West at 15MPH, and has a 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. System two is what was Tropical Storm Helene. Currently right now over the far Western Gulf of Mexico and not moving that much. Has about a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone, again, and if it does it will have a different name.

EVANSVILLE CLIMATE DATA: Monday’s high was 85, low was 55, and precipitation total was 0.00”.  First forecast high was 81, and then changed later in the afternoon to 85. Average high for today is 88 and average low is 65. Records are 101 in 1983 and 49 in 1950. Sunset tonight is at 7:35PM and sunrise on Wednesday at 6:12AM.

Evansville Pollen.com PollenCast
Today: 9.0 (Medium-High)
Wednesday: 9.3 (Medium-High)
Thursday: 9.4 (Medium-High)
Friday: 10.2 (High)

EvansvilleWatch Seven Day Forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, 84
Tonight: Mostly clear, 57
Wednesday: Sunny, 89
Wednesday Night: Clear, 60
Thursday: Sunny, warm, 92
Thursday Night: Clear, 62
Friday: Mostly sunny, hot, 92
Saturday: Mostly sunny, 93
Sunday: Mostly sunny, isolated showers and thunderstorms, 91
Monday: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 89

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That is the forecast for today. Have a nice day and God bless.

CovingtonWatch Forecast for Tuesday, August 21st, 2012


Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

FOGGY START: Some area of West Central Indiana and East Central Illinois are seeing some patchy fog this morning. This should all burn off as the sunrises for the day. After the fog burns, we have nothing but clear skies for the day with highs in the lower 80s. Mostly clear again overnight with clam winds giving us a chance of seeing some dense fog for the early morning hours. It will be cool, however, with lows once again in the lower 50s.

WARM THE REST OF THE WEEK: High pressure will be in control for part of this week and we say hello to clear skies. Sunny conditions for both Wednesday and Thursday with highs in the 80s. Clouds make a return Thursday Night into Friday. I am calling for skies to be mostly sunny to partly sunny at times on Friday with highs in the upper 80s and partly sunny for Saturday with highs in the upper 80s.

RAIN RETURNS: A cold front will sweep over Sunday Night into the day Monday giving us a chance of rain with our best chance being on Monday. Skies will be partly sunny on Sunday with highs in the upper 80s, but turn partly cloudy on Monday in the lower 80s.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: No severe weather is forecasted at this time for Sunday and Monday, but some storms could be severe at times. Main threats would be damaging winds, lighting, and heavy rainfall.

TROPICAL UPDATE: Gordon is now in the history books. The NHC stopped putting out advisories for him last night. We know have Tropical Depression Nine and this is the one that might become Isaac. At the 5AM AST Advisory, it was located 715 miles East of the Leeward Islands, winds at 35MPH, moving West at 20MPH, and pressure was at 29.74”. Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches are already out. Forecast track has this becoming a tropical storm later today and a hurricane by Thursday. As for where this will hit, latest models have this hitting near the Florida, Georgia area along the East Coast, but still too early to tell right now. Two more systems in the Atlantic to talk about. System one is about 380 miles Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, moving West at 15MPH, and has a 50% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. System two is what was Tropical Storm Helene. Currently right now over the far Western Gulf of Mexico and not moving that much. Has about a 30% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone, again, and if it does it will have a different name.

COVINGTON CLIMATE DATA: Monday’s high was 79, low was 50, and precipitation total was 0.19”. Forecast high for Monday was 78. Average high for today is 85 and average low is 61. Records are 98 in 1983 and 47 in 1992. Sunset tonight is at 8:37PM and sunrise on Wednesday at 7:08AM.

Covington Pollen.com PollenCast
Today: 9.3 (Medium-High)
Wednesday: 9.6 (Medium-High)
Thursday: 11.2 (High)
Friday: 11.3 (High)

CovingtonWatch Seven Day Forecast
Today: Morning fog, turning sunny, 81
Tonight: Mostly clear, dense fog possible, cool, 51
Wednesday: Morning fog, turning sunny, 84
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, 58
Thursday: Sunny, warm, 88
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, 62
Friday: Mostly to partly sunny, warm, 87
Saturday: Partly sunny, warm, 88
Sunday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 87
Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 83

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That is the forecast for today. Have a nice day and God bless. 

Monday, August 20, 2012

EvansvilleWatch Forecast for Monday, August 20th, 2012


Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

STARTING OFF SCHOOL COOLER: Today is the first day of classes at USI and it won’t be hot like last year. Looks to be a cool day today with highs in the lower 80s. We do have a weak system that will give way to some showers and thunderstorms across the Tri-State, but overall should stay mostly sunny. Slight chance of rain overnight with some clouds and in the upper 50s.

WARM THRU THE WEEK: An high pressure will come in for the next few days and start warming us up. Highs for Tuesday and Wednesday to be in the mid-80s with Thursday and Friday in upper 80s. Overnight Tuesday and Wednesday, skies clear out and we stay in the upper 50s to near 60. I did put in a chance of some showers on Tuesday. I do believe the models did overdo it some, but just to be safe, we might have some locations in the Tri-State that might have a shower or two.

RAIN FOR THE WEEKEND: Chance of rain for the weekend as we await a cold front on Sunday. Best chance of rain will come on Sunday as the front nears. Rain chances stay in the isolated to widely scattered range. Skies do stay partly sunny with highs in the upper 80s.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: No threat of severe weather for the next seven days at this. The thunderstorms we will have today will be more of a lighting hazard than anything else. Storms for the weekend could be strong at times. We’ll fine tune the forecast and let you know later.

TROPICAL UPDATE: We have four systems out in the tropics to talk about it. Hurricane Gordon is a category 1 storm, located 50 miles East of Santa Maria Island in the Azores, max winds at 75MPH, moving East-Northeast at 15MPH, and pressure is at 29.15” (As of 5AM AST Advisory). Onto our other three systems out in the Atlantic.
1: Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure area located about 1250 miles East of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so as the large disturbance moves westward at 20-25MPH. This system has a high chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
2: Cloudiness and showers associated with a surface trough located over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico have changed little during the past several hours. However, some gradual development of this system is possible during the next day or so if the disturbance remains offshore. This system has a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible in the Mexican States of Tamulipas and Varacruz during the next day or two.
3: A tropical wave located about 150 miles South of the Cape Verde Islands is producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Some gradual development is possible over the next few days as the disturbance moves Westward at 15-20MPH. This system has a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

EVANSVILLE CLIMATE DATA: Average high for today is 88 and average low is 65. Records are 102 in 1983 and 50 in 1967. Sunset tonight is at 7:36PM and sunrise on Tuesday at 6:11AM.

Evansville Pollen.com PollenCast
Today: 8.8 (Medium-High)
Tuesday: 9.0 (Medium-High)
Wednesday: 9.3 (Medium-High)
Thursday: 9.5 (Medium-High)

EvansvilleWatch Seven Day Forecast
Monday: Isolated afternoon, showers and thunderstorms, mostly sunny, 81
Tonight: Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 57
Tuesday: Partly sunny, a shower or two, 84
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, 58
Wednesday: Sunny, 85
Wednesday Night: Clear, warm, 60
Thursday: Sunny, warm, 87
Friday: Sunny, warm, 89
Saturday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, warm, 89
Sunday: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, warm, 88

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Again everyone, classes start today at USI, so the West Side is going to be busy. I’ll try to have an update this afternoon after I get done with my classes. Have a great day and God bless. 

CovingtonWatch Forecast for Monday, August 20th, 2012


Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

COOL START TO THE WEEK: After a nice weekend, we start off the work week cool, but with a chance of rain. We have a weak system moving into the area today will give way to some showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. All of these should stay below the strong threat, but lighting cannot be ruled out. Partly sunny skies today with some clouds overnight; highs for today in the upper 70s and overnight in the lower 50s.

WARM UP: An area of high pressure moves in on Tuesday and starts to warm our temps up over the next few days and nights. Mostly sunny and near 80 for Tuesday, while Wednesday and Thursday have sunny conditions in the mid-80s. Friday looks to be the warmest day of the next seven under mostly sunny skies in the mid to upper 80s. Clear and in the low to mid-50s overnight for Tuesday and Wednesday. One side note, some of our models do put in a chance of rain for Tuesday and Wednesday. I will not lie, I do believe that the models are overdoing it, but I do want to go ahead and say a possible shower cannot be ruled out here or there for both days. Overall, everything should be nice.

WEEKEND RAIN: We will be awaiting a frontal system for the weekend to bring in rain. A cold front will move across on Sunday and won’t really drop temps all that much. Rain chances stay in the isolated to widely scattered chance. Highs for the weekend stay in the mid-80s.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: No threat of severe weather for the next seven days at this. The thunderstorms we will have today will be more of a lighting hazard than anything else. Storms for the weekend could be strong at times. We’ll fine tune the forecast and let you know later.

TROPICAL UPDATE: We have four systems out in the tropics to talk about it. Hurricane Gordon is a category 1 storm, located 50 miles East of Santa Maria Island in the Azores, max winds at 75MPH, moving East-Northeast at 15MPH, and pressure is at 29.15” (As of 5AM AST Advisory). Onto our other three systems out in the Atlantic.
1: Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization associated with a tropical wave and a low pressure area located about 1250 miles East of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions are conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so as the large disturbance moves westward at 20-25MPH. This system has a high chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
2: Cloudiness and showers associated with a surface trough located over the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico have changed little during the past several hours. However, some gradual development of this system is possible during the next day or so if the disturbance remains offshore. This system has a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible in the Mexican States of Tamulipas and Varacruz during the next day or two.
3: A tropical wave located about 150 miles South of the Cape Verde Islands is producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms. Some gradual development is possible over the next few days as the disturbance moves Westward at 15-20MPH. This system has a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

COVINGTON CLIMATE DATA: Average high for today is 85 and average low is 61. Records are 95 in 1983 and 47 in 1992. Sunset tonight is at 8:39PM and sunrise on Tuesday at 7:07AM.

Covington Pollen.com PollenCast
Today: 9.1 (Medium-High)
Tuesday: 9.3 (Medium-High)
Wednesday: 9.9 (High)
Thursday: 10.5 (High)

CovingtonWatch Seven Day Forecast
Monday: Widely scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 78
Tonight: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 52
Tuesday: Mostly sunny, 80
Tuesday Night: Clear, 52
Wednesday: Sunny, warm, 85
Wednesday Night: Clear, 55
Thursday: Sunny, warm, 85
Friday: Mostly sunny, warm, 87
Saturday: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 86
Sunday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 85

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That is it for today. I start classes today, so I will try for another update sometime this afternoon. Have a great day and God bless.