EvansvilleWatch Forecast for Thursday, August 30th, 2012

Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: Lake Wind Advisory for Gibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick Counties [IN], Edwards, Union, Wabash, Wayne, White Counties [IL], Daviess, Henderson, Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg, Webster Counties [KY] until 7PM CDT Sunday…

OVERNIGHT THRU SUNDAY: The main area of Isaac will stay off towards our west and north during the Labor Day weekend. However, we will still have what is left of him in the Tri-State. Clouds will start to increase overnight and we do have a chance of some showers and thunderstorms also. Our best chance will be more towards daybreak. After tonight, our rain chances will stay from 50-70% until Sunday. Our biggest chance of rain will come Friday Night and Sunday. Highs for next few days will be in the 80s with overnight lows in the lower 70s. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will have wind gust of over 30MPH at times.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY: We are going to be on the back side of “Isaac” on Monday and our rain chances drop to 35-40%. A weak cold front will then move over early Tuesday and might spark off a few showers and thunderstorms then. However, we will see the sun return. Highs for both days in the upper 80s.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY: Watching a couple more frontal systems as they will bring anywhere from 20-30% chance of rain into the Tri-State. While it won’t be like anything we will see this weekend, it will be something to watch for now.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: As this system moves into the area over the weekend, we will see some things that we have not seen for a while. This system is forecasted to be a slow mover and if so, heavy rainfall and flooding is possible. We are forecasted by the HPC to receive from 3-6” of rain for the Tri-State. With as dry as we have been, the ground is not going to take everything in fast. Therefore, flash flooding is going to be something we will be talking about. No formal Slight Risk of severe weather for the weekend by the SPC, but we should see one later. Main threats will be damaging winds, hail, isolated tornadoes, heavy rainfall, and flooding. Next Friday looks to be as if we will have another severe weather chance, but is too early to tell at this time.

EvansvilleWatch Seven Day Forecast

Tonight: Increasing clouds, isolated showers and thunderstorms, 72

Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, breezy, 87

Friday Night: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 72

Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, breezy, 84

Saturday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 70

Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, breezy, 83

Labor Day: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 87

Tuesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, mostly sunny, 89

Wednesday: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly sunny, 87

Thursday: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 83

I will try to have another update in the morning. I will be on the road Friday afternoon and try to have updates when I can. Have a great Labor Day weekend, stay dry, and God bless.

CovingtonWatch Forecast for Thursday, August 30th, 2012

Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

OVERNIGHT: One more clear night for us until what is left Isaac moves into the Illiana area for the next several days. It will be mild with lows in the mid-60s.

FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY: We start off Friday under mostly sunny skies with highs reaching near 90. Isolated showers and thunderstorms will start to enter into the area starting late in the afternoon as what is left of Isaac moves in. Take the rain gear to the football games Friday Night as more showers and thunderstorms move in. Those that won’t see rain will have mostly cloudy skies with overnight lows in the upper 60s. We start seeing a frontal system for the weekend along with Isaac moving in. This will improve our rain chances and if you don’t see any rain for a few minutes, skies will be cloudy. Temps near 80 for Saturday and Sunday with overnight Saturday near 70. 

LABOR DAY AND TUESDAY: Isaac will start to move on out as a cold front will move over at the same time on Labor Day. While our rain chances will decrease, we are still going to be a good chance of rain. Otherwise, partly cloudy skies with highs in the mid-80s. Might see a few showers and storms on Tuesday morning, but a weak high pressure will move in and should move some clouds out and return the sun, but with highs still in the mid-80s.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY: Wednesday looks to be the nicest day for next week with mostly sunny skies and highs in the lower to mid -80s. We will be watching another front for Thursday that might return a chance of showers and thunderstorms again with highs in the lower 80s.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: As what is left of Isaac moves towards us, we will be faced with some things we haven’t seen for a while. As long as the models are right, this system looks to be a slow mover. This means that heavy rainfall and flooding is possible. With as dry as we have been, the ground is not going to take in all this water at once. Therefore, we are at an increased risk of flash flooding and flooding of creaks, streams, and rivers. No formal Slight Risk has been put out by the SPC for the weekend, but I do believe we will see one when the next update comes in during the early morning hours. Main threats with any severe weather we will see for the next few days will be damaging winds, hail, isolated tornadoes, heavy rainfall, and flooding. As this system moves out, we start heading into next week. It does look like we might have a chance of strong thunderstorms/severe weather for next Friday. Too early to say what might happen, but we will be watching.

RAINFALL TOTALS: As of the 5:40PM EDT update today, the HPC has us under the 7+” area of rainfall valid thru 8PM EDT Tuesday. This might look high, but that does not mean we will get that. I saw one person going off on the HPC for calling for 3-6”. These numbers are high for the 5 Day Outlook because we really won’t know until we get there on what is happening. But I just want to tell you, these numbers will be going up and down for the next few days.

CovingtonWatch Seven Day Forecast

Tonight: Clear, 64

Friday: Mostly sunny, isolated showers late, hot, 90

Friday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, 69

Saturday: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 80

Saturday Night: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 70

Sunday: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 80

Labor Day: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 85

Tuesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 85

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, 83

Thursday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, mostly sunny, 82

I will try to have another update in the morning. I will be on the road Friday afternoon and try to have updates when I can. Have a great Labor Day weekend, stay dry, and God bless. 

EvansvilleWatch Forecast for Wednesday, August 29th, 2012

Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

I do not think I have to tell you that much about our forecast for the next few days because we have done that for like well over a week. Here is the seven day and pollen forecast.

Evansville Pollen.com PollenCast

Thursday: 10.1 (High)

Friday: 8.8 (Med-High)

Saturday: 7.5 (Med-High)

EvansvilleWatch Seven Day Forecast

Tonight: Clear, 63

Thursday: Sunny, hot, 93

Thursday Night: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, warm, 70

Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, 88

Friday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, warm, 72

Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 86

Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 85

Labor Day: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 88

Tuesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, hot, 91

Wednesday: Isolated morning showers and thunderstorms, turning sunny, warm, 89

I’ll have the latest drought info tomorrow and I’ll have the full forecast tomorrow night. Good night and God bless.

CovingtonWatch Forecast for Wednesday, August 29th, 2012

Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

I do not think I have to tell you that much about our forecast for the next few days because we have done that for like well over a week. Here is the seven day and pollen forecast.

Covington Pollen.com PollenCast

Thursday: 10.0 (High)

Friday: 11.5 (High)

Saturday: 9.3 (Med-High)

CovingtonWatch Seven Day Forecast

Tonight: Clear, 60

Thursday: Sunny, hot, 91

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, warm, 63

Friday: Widely afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly sunny, hot, 92

Friday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, warm, 70

Saturday: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 78

Sunday: Widespread showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 81

Labor Day: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly cloudy, 83

Tuesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 86

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, 85

I’ll have the latest drought info tomorrow and I’ll have the full forecast tomorrow night. Good night and God bless. 

EvansvilleWatch Forecast for Tuesday, August 28th, 2012

Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

OVERNIGHT THRU THURSDAY: High pressure for the next few days will give way to clear skies for the daytime and overnight hours. Lows overnight tonight and Wednesday in the low to mid-60s and highs for Wednesday and Thursday in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

THURSDAY NIGHT THRU TUESDAY: A warm front is going to try to lift northward overnight Thursday, but looks to as if it will fall apart while getting here. So do have a small chance of rain for Thursday night. Friday, Saturday, and Sunday is when our best chances of rain are from what is left of Isaac once it gets here. Friday is at 42%, Saturday is at 64%, and Sunday is at 52%. Some the newer models do show that “Isaac” could move more westward and decrease our rain chances. However, we do have frontal system that will kind of just hang around for a while, mainly in Central Indiana/Illinois. A cold front will move thru late during the day on Labor Day and into early Tuesday giving us a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Rain totals do look to help us with our drought problems. I’ll have more on those as we get new info.  

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: We do have a chance of some strong thunderstorms when “Isaac” moves in. Main threats at this time look to be wind, heavy rainfall, and flooding. As for hail and the tornado threat, we will wait and see what happens.

Evansville Pollen.com PollenCast

Wednesday: 9.6 (Med-High)

Thursday: 10.7 (High)

Friday: 9.2 (Med-High)

EvansvilleWatch Seven Day Forecast

Tonight: Clear, 63

Wednesday: Sunny, 89

Wednesday Night: Clear, 63

Thursday: Sunny, hot, 91

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, isolated showers and thunderstorms, 69

Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, 86

Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 86

Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, mostly cloudy, 88

Monday: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 88

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, isolated showers and thunderstorms, 89

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That is it for now; I will have updates on Isaac as they come in. Have a great night and God bless.

CovingtonWatch Forecast for Tuesday, August 28th, 2012

Warnings, Watches, and Advisories: None

OVERNIGHT THRU THURSDAY: High pressure will be overhead for the next few days as we wait for what is left of Isaac to move our way. Tonight will be the only night with clouds overhead, but those leave us early Wednesday morning. Highs for Wednesday and Thursday will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s under sunshine. Clear skies for overnight Wednesday and Thursday with lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

FRIDAY THRU TUESDAY: What is left of Isaac will move in closer on Friday Night. Not only that, we have a frontal system that will stall out during the overnight hours and on Saturday. What is left of Isaac will move towards us overnight Saturday and Sunday. Our rain chances for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday will be on the high side. 30% for Friday, 67% for Saturday, and 63% for Sunday. We do have a chance for showers and thunderstorms on Labor Day as a frontal system will move over during the day. We start to dry out on Tuesday. One of the models has the Covington area at 6” of rain when all is said and done.

SEVERE WEATHER RISK: We do have a chance of some strong thunderstorms when “Isaac” moves in. Main threats at this time look to be wind, heavy rainfall, and flooding. As for hail and the tornado threat, we will wait and see what happens.

Covington Pollen.com PollenCast

Wednesday: 9.4 (Med-High)

Thursday: 11.5 (High)

Friday: 10.1 (High)

CovingtonWatch Seven Day Forecast

Tonight: Partly cloudy, 59

Wednesday: Sunny, 87

Wednesday Night: Clear, 58

Thursday: Sunny, hot, 91

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, 63

Friday: Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 90

Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 81

Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, cloudy, 82

Monday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms, partly sunny, 85

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, 86

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That is it for now; I will have updates on Isaac as they come in. Have a great night and God bless. 

Hurricane Isaac 1PM CDT Advisory for Tuesday, August 28th, 2012

NHC Headline: Hurricane Isaac is moving northwestward towards the Mouth of the Mississippi River; flooding from storm surge and rainfall expected.   

All the information is as of the 1PM CDT Advisory.
Cat: 1

Location: 28.4N 88.7W

About 55 Miles SSE of the Mouth of the Mississippi River

About 135 Miles SE of New Orleans, LA

Maximum Sustained Winds: 75MPH

Present Movement: NW or 310 degrees at 10MPH

Minimum Central Pressure: 975mb, 28.79 inches

Days 1-3

NHC has Isaac hitting as a hurricane late tonight, into early Wednesday morning around the New Orleans area. This does not mean New Orleans will get hit. This can go west of New Orleans; it can go east of New Orleans. Whatever you do, don’t just look at the line on the map; look at the areas in white in the cone. Those areas could get hit also. In the days 1-3, NHC has this becoming a tropical storm later in the day, most likely after land fall and a tropical depression by Friday morning.

Days 1-5

Days 4 and 5 bring what is left of Isaac into Indiana, Illinois, and Kentucky. We look to be on the flooding side with heavy downpours. As for severe weather, we will wait and see.

Rainfall total forecast valid thru 8AM EDT Sunday

Flooding, heavy rainfall, and storm surges should remain the biggest threats from Isaac. The tornado threat will be low because tropical systems just do not have the conditions to produce tornadoes that well. Once this gets less of water and more of land, we will see what will happen. Isaac should hit land as a cat 1 hurricane and start to weaken after that. Isaac is running out of space and time to become a major hurricane. 

BIG NOTE: People have been comparing Isaac to Katrina. This will be nowhere near Katrina. She was a storm that we may not see for a while. As a matter of fact, the whole 2005 season may be something we won’t see again for a while. Katrina went from a cat 3 to a cat 5 in nine hours. Isaac just became a hurricane today. I won’t make any comparisons of Isaac to any past storm until the NHC and NWS say that Isaac is now in the history books.