If you were up early this morning, some of you might have
seen some snow around the Tri-State. Totals are looking to be from just about
0.5-2.0”, but that should start to melt this afternoon.
Looking over the forecast models, this week looking to be
better over last week when had the severe weather, well-above normal temps, and
the snow at the end. We do look to be above normal once again this week, but
not like this past week.
We are looking to be nice today as skies will start to
clear, but it will be breezy with those winds coming from the West-Northwest
and highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Overnight, some clouds do return and
we will be cool. The faster those clouds move in, the slower it will take for
us to reach our low. One of the models is hinting at lows in the upper teens
across our northern counties. If the cloud cover can get here fast enough, I
think those counties will only hit the lower 20s.
Today: Clearing skies, breezy, high of 40
Tonight: Partly cloudy skies, cool, low of 23
Clouds do return ahead of a cold front on Monday. Our
best chance of rain will be around Midday and lasting into the overnight hours.
With lows reaching below freezing, I do believe that we are going to see a rain/snow
mix before heading towards a small snow event. Timing for this to end looks to
be before daybreak hour. So we will have to be watching both the temps and how
fast the precipitation is moving before we do know what will be happing.
Monday: 45% chance of showers, mostly cloudy, high of 41
Monday Night: 15% chance of rain/snow mix, mostly cloudy,
low of 26
High pressure starts to take control on Tuesday and
Wednesday starting out with temps at normal highs and then getting us to above
normal highs. But it will be on Thursday that we see that warm air really being
back. Highs will be near 50, lower-to-mid 50s across our southern counties
before a cold front moves back in and bring with it another rain chance for
Thursday Night. Good news is, that rain looks to be only an overnight event and
high pressure moves back in for Friday. We should be clear on Friday afternoon
and highs will be like they will be on Friday. We are watching Saturday really
close right now. Right now we are looking at showers for the day on Saturday.
However, a nice low pressure will form off to our west. We might be looking at
a 995-998mb low, which might indicate some thunderstorms with this. Some of the
stuff we look at for forecasting severe weather is showing maybe a strong thunderstorm
event at times on Saturday. But right now, we are seven days out on that and we
all know that Tri-State weather can change from now until then.
Tuesday: Clearing skies, high of 41; overnight low of 27
Wednesday: Sunny, high of 45; overnight low of 31
Thursday: Mostly sunny, warm, 20% chance of showers late,
high of 50; overnight low of 34
Friday: Mostly
sunny, warm, high of 49; overnight low of 33
Saturday: 20% chance of showers, mostly cloudy, high of
53
Climate Prediction Center
Looking at the 6-10 Day Forecast and 8-14 Day Forecast
from the Climate Prediction Center, temps are looking to be above normal for
both time frames with days 6-10 to have the highest chance and precipitation to
be above normal also, with days 6-10 to also have the highest chance.
That is it for today, updates as they come in. My next
forecast will be Monday morning. Have a great Super Bowl Sunday, go Ravens, and
God Bless.
